For the most part, NFL free agency is over. There are a few good players still on the market, Jadeveon Clowney among them, but none who should affect a team’s betting win total for the coming season. The NFL Draft, which begins April 23, might slightly affect a few teams’ win totals but only really those horrible teams who pick a quarterback. For example, the Cincinnati Bengals, who are expected to take LSU quarterback Joe Burrow at No. 1 overall.

Odds courtesy of OddsShark.com

Cincinnati won an NFL-low two games last season to earn that top pick and is currently given a 2020 win total of 5.5 – in theory, Burrow might push that up a half-win if heavy action all of a sudden flows on the over following the draft. That’s one important thing to note on win totals: Heavy action on either side will move the number a bit. These will be fluid until the season starts, but there won’t be any movement of two wins, etc., barring injury to a starting quarterback.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers won seven games last season with Jameis Winston as their starting quarterback and are set at nine for 2020 after signing Tom Brady in free agency. The Bucs are taking heavy, heavy action on the over and that is a -160 favorite. Tampa Bay hasn’t won nine games since 2016.