America’s sports bettors plan to splash out big time on their 2020 Super Bowl wagers, at least, according to the latest fearless forecast from the American Gaming Association (AGA).

On Tuesday, the AGA released its annual forecast for how much Americans plan to bet on the single biggest day on the domestic sporting calendar. The AGA says some 26m Americans will place a wager on Sunday’s big game – 3m more than the AGA estimated would bet on 2019’s Super Bowl – spending a combined $6.8b in the process.

The AGA has been offering similarly outsized predictions for years, often based on profoundly shaky mathematical underpinnings. In 2015, the AGA estimated total Super Bowl betting handle would top out at around $3.9b, using a 1999 report to arrive at its final figures.

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