The College football National Championship game is all set for January 12 and as early as now, the public and the sharps have been pounding the Ohio State Buckeyes, forcing a lot of sportsbooks to drop the line from -7 to -6.5.
Back-and-forth action like this is typical for a game of this magnitude, especially if the game is only days away. What’s a little interesting is how tight sportsbooks are adjusting with the slightest of movements.
The Oregon Ducks opened as a touchdown favorite but apparently, a lot of people are sold on the belief that the Buckeyes are capable of keeping the game close and covering. Believe it or not, a significant chunk of early bets have come from bettors who have actually laid money on Ohio State to win the game outright.
Sportsbooks know that something like this was bound to happen, especially when it comes to a championship game. As such, they adjust early on, keeping the money line at a reasonable price to prevent an onslaught of Ohio State bets coming in. Here’s a tip: if you want to bet on Ohio State to win the title game, you’re not getting good value for those odds. Same thing with the Super Bowl.
Clearly, though, that dynamic hasn’t stopped the public from going all-in on the Buckeyes. It’ll be interesting how the line moves from here on until kick-off, but if the early action is any indication, books will probably try to to do what they can to secure some Oregon money and make it an even playing field.
As far as the totals are concerned, it was entirely predictable seeing the number jump from the opening line of 73.5 to 75.5. Expect that number to move up even more because the tendency for the public is to pray for a high-scoring game, which would be a good way to root for if they have money on the over.
So keep a close eye on how the spread and the over/under moves in the days to come. Chances are, you’ll get the odds you wanted in the first place. But if all else fails and you still don’t have money on the championship game, just enjoy the game itself and maybe put down a small-sized bet on it being a high-scoring affair.