Monthly Archives: March 2016

Why Paddy Betfair and 888 are the Two Best Gamers for Investment

Trading is a losing game if it is your chief strategy. You’ll win big sometimes and you’ll lose big other times, but taken together it will be a loss unless you are a time traveler. Chances are, you’re not, so long term investment is the only long term winning strategy. Warren Buffett demonstrated this long ago, and it still holds true for any industry. This is precisely why we only held 0.5% in Caesars puts before the big Davis Report release last week. Though correct on outcome, I was wrong on magnitude which led to a loss. We can try again in May with a smaller sum when the next big court decision is scheduled, but a 0.5% is easily recoverable.

Bottom line, Paddy Power Betfair and 888 are the best companies to hold long term. 888 is higher by 15.6% since January 19, and while Paddy Power is more of a math problem considering the merger, its growth is obvious and in the right places. Both companies represent two models of growth, so hedging between them makes sense. 888 is the model of go-it-alone growth, not intentionally, but that is what ended up happening. The advantages are less leverage, less internal politics, more control over itself, less contracts and more just doing business. The disadvantages are that going it alone makes it harder to command market share all else being equal. Given that both companies are good at what they do, both may end up growing nicely long term with both strategies. It’s just good to have a stake in both for diversification.

The politics are already evident with Paddy Power Betfair as former Paddy CEO Andy McCue has chosen to leave in order to pursue new opportunities. Perhaps this was planned, amicable, the ultimate goal and all the rest. But even if it was, it still shows the downsides of mergers. You can have talent coming from both sides, but one side will always be dominant over the other, and hopefully the gain will be greater than the loss. That’s just the nature of business reality.

Last week we dealt with the tax blow to 888, and that really is the ultimate factor here between Paddy Power Betfair and 888, which in itself is a sad thing. Both companies’ growth strategies seem to be working, so the difference between them is really who can scale up best to defend against new tax regimes. When tax questions become the ultimate competition between businesses, what you have is no longer business but defensive maneuvering around politicians. It’s a whole different and more arbitrary game.

Bill seeks to disassociate French eSports tourneys from gambling events

The government of France might soon ease back on its strict regulations against eSports.

Competitive gaming is classified as a gambling event under current French laws, and because of this, the country has become an unappealing location to tournament organizers who are required to jump through many hoops to put up high-profile gaming events in the country.

But there is a new legislation that seeks to disassociate eSports events from gambling, which is considered an illegal activity in France.

Titled “The Digital Republic Bill,” the proposed legislation also aims to expand the definition of athletes to include competitive gaming players. This, in turn, will allow eSports players to contribute their taxes towards government pension plans and other social nets.

Muin Gafurov battles Reece McLaren in Manila

19-year old Muin “Tajik” Gafurov is unbeaten as a professional mixed martial artist at 10-0, and will face Filipino-Australian Reece “Lightning” McLaren (8-3-0) in a three round bantamweight bout at ONE: GLOBAL RIVALS on April 15 at the Mall of Asia Arena in Manila, Philippines.

Gafurov made his debut at ONE Championship against highly-regarded American standout Casey Suire last September, impressing the crowd with his all-out aggressive style. He defeated Suire by stunning spinning back kick to the body knockout.

Last January, Gafurov trumped Finnish MMA stalwart Toni “Dynamite” Tauru, winning by technical knockout in a tough, three-round battle.

Now, he continues in his quest for the pinnacle of the division by taking on McLaren.

Day, Spieth, McIlroy favorites to win the Masters

The 2016 Masters are loaded with some of the top players in the world but which of them are worth your money?

Golf is one of sports that does not lack betting markets and options, and the easiest way to put your money on a golf tournament is to predict who’s going to take the entire event. Now that we’re a little more than a week from the start of the season’s first major, The Masters, as it kicks off on April 7, let’s take a look at what the betting odds for the 2016 Masters look like.

Jason Day, who’s obsessed with winning this tournament, is the favorite to pull on the green jacket as he continued his dominance this spring with victory in the Dell Match Play, regaining the world’s No. 1 ranking.

Day now heads to the Masters as the man to beat at +700 tied with Rory McIlroy, who needs only the Masters to complete the career Grand Slam and Jordan Spieth to repeat a win.

Winning 'Lucky for Life' ticket sold in Fairfield County

An unclaimed Lucky for Life winning ticket worth $25,000 a year was sold in Fairfield County for the Thursday, March 24 drawing, a Connecticut Lottery spokeswoman said Monday. The winning Lucky for Life numbers drawn on Thursday were 2-12-18-20-22 and the Lucky Ball was 12. In Connecticut alone, there were a total of 14,586 lucky winners with prizes from $3 to “$25,000 a year for life” state-wide, spokeswoman Valerie Guglielmo said.

Winning 'Lucky for Life' ticket sold in Fairfield County

An unclaimed Lucky for Life winning ticket worth $25,000 a year was sold in Fairfield County for the Thursday, March 24 drawing, a Connecticut Lottery spokeswoman said Monday. The winning Lucky for Life numbers drawn on Thursday were 2-12-18-20-22 and the Lucky Ball was 12. In Connecticut alone, there were a total of 14,586 lucky winners with prizes from $3 to “$25,000 a year for life” state-wide, spokeswoman Valerie Guglielmo said.

Ben Askren returns to ONE Cage to face Russian foe

ONE Welterweight World Champion Ben “Funky” Askren would like nothing more than to return to the cage and do what he does best and that’s to get in, dominate, and get out. The 31-year old former NCAA Division I wrestler from Arizona has been out of competition for nearly a year, but the good news is, he’s about a month away from climbing back in.

Askren (14-0) will face Russia’s Nikolay Aleksakhin (17-3) in a five round welterweight bout for Askren’s title. The bout will headline ONE Championship’s first event in Manila this year, called ONE: GLOBAL RIVALS.

Last April 2015, Askren battled hulkish Brazilian foe Luis “Sapo” Santos to a No Contest ruling after Santos deemed himself unable to continue after an inadvertent eye poke. A highly-anticipated rematch was scheduled months later in Singapore, only to have Santos miss weight and the bout cancelled at the eleventh hour.

In the first bout, Santos used his indomitable size and strength to throw Askren around like a ragdoll, manhandling him like never before seen in his career. Inevitably however, Santos began to fade and it started to look like Askren was about to take over — and then the bout was cut short and the rest was history.