Is there any chance that the Divisional Playoff round can top the batshit craziness from last weekend’s wild card fiasco? Who knows. I went 2-2 ATS last week, thanks to the Steelers leaving AJ Green wide open and Seattle bumbling their way through the frozen tundra of the Midwest. Still, I’m outright confident in these choices below. Enjoy the weekend, and here’s a nudge if you need some further convincing on your own picks.

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS +4.5 over NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS

Last week, I used the universally accepted DVOA rankings from Football Outsiders to get an idea of how good the strength of competition was for the Kansas City Chiefs during their 10-game winning streak that ended the season. It turned out that Kansas City had gone 10-0 SU and 7-3 ATS against teams that averaged out to a 16.3 ranking in DVOA. Houston ranked 18th heading in to last week. So it seemed logical to take Kansas on a tight line then.

Now they face the Patriots, a team that grades out as the 6th best overall team in football. Even if you’re one of the few who doesn’t necessarily trust how Football Outsider’s grades overall performance, you’d be stupid to believe that the Patriots are anything but one of the best in the league. Under basic metrics, they have the 10th best scoring defense and the 3rd best scoring offense, and held a +9.4 points differential over the course of the season.