It’s a chalk final four in the NFL playoffs, and in the AFC Championship Game the top-seeded Kansas City Chiefs are 3-point favorites over the No. 2 New England Patriots. The winner likely would be a short underdog against either the New Orleans Saints or Los Angeles Rams in Super Bowl LIII.

Odds courtesy of OddsShark.com

Rather amazingly, it’s the first time Kansas City has hosted an AFC title game – not like that franchise hasn’t had success in the past. This also could be an official changing of the guard in terms of the biggest star quarterback in the NFL. That has been the Patriots’ Tom Brady for years, but the 41-year-old could be set to cede that title to 23-year-old Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes.

In his first season as the starter, Mahomes became just the second quarterback ever to have a season in which he threw for 5,000 yards and 50 touchdowns. The other was Brady’s former rival, the retired Peyton Manning. Brady has had a 5,000-yard season and a 50-TD season, but never at once. Brady is also a three-time regular-season MVP, an award Mahomes is all but a lock to win the night before the Super Bowl.