It would be hard to say that anybody expected the Iowa Caucuses to settle the 2020 U.S. Democratic Primary, but at least we expected it to resolve itself fairly quickly. Now after several days of waiting, we know that it’s essentially a tie between Bernie Sanders and Pete Buttigieg. With another debate this weekend, and the New Hampshire primary early next week, it’s the perfect time to look once again at the top candidates’ odds.
First, to take a very high level view, the Iowa Caucuses, maybe because they took forever to resolve, didn’t change very much for Bernie Sanders. He was favored to win, and by some metrics, he did. If anything, the results helped remove some candidates from the field, putting Joe Biden especially in a tough position.
Looking at a map of the country from PredictIt, we can tell quickly that Sanders has the edge. His favored states are in red, with darker shades indicating he’s heavily favored to win.
Image care of PredicIt.org