It’s impossible to 100 percent guarantee which player will win MVP honors of a particular Super Bowl, but it can for the most part be quite narrowed down: Do not pick a kicker or tight end but instead the quarterback of the team that is likely to win.

Odds courtesy of OddsShark.com

Super Bowl LIII is February 3 from Atlanta between the NFC champion Los Angeles Rams and AFC champion New England Patriots. To zero surprise, the two starting quarterbacks, the Rams‘ Jared Goff and Patriots’ Tom Brady, are the MVP favorites.

Brady leads the pack with odds of +110 because his Patriots are 3-point favorites to win the game. Brady has won five Super Bowl rings, most of any quarterback in league history. His four Super Bowl MVP Awards also are the most. The only Super Bowl that Brady won and he didn’t take home MVP honors was XXXIX when teammate and receiver Deion Branch did.