Things look good for Caesars acquisition by Eldorado, asserts analyst

Eldorado Resorts may be closer than ever to taking over Caesars Entertainment Corp. There has been talk of a possible acquisition in the past, but not much movement had been seen recently. Now, at least one industry analyst is putting his weight behind a possible upcoming deal and asserts that the companies’ valuation is a primary impetus behind the acquisition.

Carlo Santarelli of Deutsche Bank said this past Wednesday, “We believe the likelihood for an ERI/CZR pairing has increased and we believe this transaction would be a net positive for ERI, CZR, and the gaming group more broadly, given the valuation implications and broader halo of a busy (mergers and acquisitions) environment.” His use of “ERI” and “CZR” refer to Eldorado’s NASDAQ ticker symbol, ERI, and Caesars’ NYSE ticker symbol, CZR.

If Eldorado were to go after Caesars, it would be able to seek as much as $10.50 for each share of the company known for its properties such as Caesars Palace, Paris, Bally’s and others. This price point is about a 14.8% premium above stock’s closing price this past Wednesday and, given the size of the deal, which will almost definitely include cash and stock, Caesars investors stand to pick up a nice bonus.

Santarelli added, “We estimate, based on what we believe to be leverage thresholds and synergy targets, that ERI would likely offering something in the range of a ~55/45 cash/stock deal. As such, and assuming our ERI pro forma target objective of $83, we believe the transaction, over time, could represent a greater than 40 percent return for CZR holders.”