Winning the NFL’s regular-season MVP award has been a curse of sorts for the winner, who has not won the Super Bowl in the same year since Kurt Warner of the St. Louis Rams in 1999. Since then, Tom Brady of the New England Patriots has won the NFL MVP award twice (2007 and 2010) while taking home the Super Bowl honor four times (XXXVI, XXXVIII, XLIX and LI).

Odds courtesy of OddsShark.com

Coming off a remarkable comeback victory in last year’s Super Bowl, Brady is the +450 favorite to win this year’s NFL MVP award.

Brady missed the first four games of the 2016 regular season but still turned in one of the best campaigns of his 17-year career with 28 touchdowns and a career-low two interceptions. His passer rating of 112.2 was the second-highest number of his career too, sitting just behind his 2007 MVP season when he scored a 117.2.