Category Archives: NFL

NFL Week 4 Betting Recap

Week 4 was not a total win for the books, but given last week’s gut wrenching results, they will take what was offered up over the weekend. Denver, Oakland, Indianapolis, Philadelphia, Arizona and Seattle all came up short against the spread, and some of them just came up short, period (hello Raiders, Eagles and Cardinals).

However, the Packers, Jets, Falcons, Panthers and Bengals kept it from being a completely disastrous weekend for the public. Green Bay, Atlanta and Carolina were all drawing over 80-percent of the spread betting money, and they all delivered, especially the latter two.

The Falcons hosted the Texans and they entered the inter-conference contest a -6 favorite. Dan Quinn’s troops brought a paddle with them and they spanked Houston 48-21 to improve to 4-0 on the season.

Cam Newton and company, playing as a -3 road favorite, embarrassed NFC South rival Tampa Bay 37-23 at Raymond James Stadium.

While NFL Goes To London, Lines Up Fan Duel, Palumbo Says Hearing Coming

While NFL Goes To London, Lines Up Fan Duel, Palumbo Says Hearing Coming

On Friday came the announcement that DraftKings, now with a UK gaming license in place, signed a multi-year deal with the NFL for promoting its London games, a city where gambling is legal and betting lines on this Sunday’s matchup will be front and center with bookmakers, right alongside The Premier League and the Rugby World Cup .

According to the a press release, Draft Kings will host events outside of Wembley Stadium prior to all three games, with additional events at Trafalgar Square on Saturday, October 3 and on Regent Street on Saturday, October 24. At these events, fans can take part in a series of American football skills challenges to win merchandise, prizes and money-can’t-buy experiences.

And of course, DraftKings advertising will also appear during the broadcast of NFL games on Sky Sports TV in the United Kingdom.

This latest announcement again shows the changing landscape, especially with the massive marketing dollars being spent right now by DFS. As of this weekend, 28 of the league’s 32 teams are partnered with either DraftKings or FanDuel and FanDuel sponsors a regular segment at NFL.com. Is the NFL now more aligned because of the dollars and the increasing fan interest? Or are we still in the originally proposed one year review period, with deals and investments now going well beyond what seems like a trial period?

What is clear is that DFS and the NFL is front and center, and those one year” look and see” deals the NFL have imposed will be escalating as long as the dollars remain flowing.
As his home state Jets are playing abroad on a rainy weekend, New Jersey Congressman Frank Palumbo again was incredulous at what he called the continued hypocrisy of the money going into DFS and the lack of dollars flowing into the coffers of states if sports gambling was regulated. “It continues to be ridiculous, as the leagues are making more and more money from partnerships and advertising in what is becoming more and more a large business that is in effect, gambling while they continue to fight states like New Jersey in the courts,” Palumbo said. “The money that the leagues are making may be going to pay the legal bills of all the lawyers engaged in lawsuits to block what is a fair proposal to legalize sports betting, where it could be going into areas that will help the community (through taxes collected). Everyone is making money except the states on this.”

While Palumbo was not aware of the latest deal with the NFL and DraftKings overseas, he was aware of the fact that DraftKings now has a legal betting license in the UK, which in his opinion again blurs the line between “fantasy” and legal sports betting. “The loophole was created not for the massive amounts of money that everyone from the leagues, and now the players (referring to the NFLPA deal with DraftKings this week) and the teams are benefitting from, it was created for casual fans who wanted to engage in fantasy sports with little to no cost,” he said. “This is now a massive multi-million dollar business and we need to look at it and make some hard decisions on where these dollars should be going.” Palumbo’s well documented fight maintains that the legalization of sports betting will put money back into municipalities through taxes and would help bring organized crime away from sports gambling. On Thursday at the NYVC Sports Advertising Week event in New York, Washington Wizards and Capitals owner Ted Leonsis estimated that the figure in illegal gambling on a football may be as high as $800 billion, compared to the $8 billion legally wagered in Las Vegas on NFL Sundays. Like Palumbo, Leonsis felt those dollars could help offset costs with everything ranging from improving infrastructure to maintaining school programs.

As far as what’s next for Palumbo’s fight on Capitol Hill, he said that a hearing is expected in the coming months before winter recess, and could be as early as the next month, with a bipartisan group looking very closely at the DFS issue with professional sports and then deciding on potential next steps not just on fantasy but on sports betting as well, either on the state level or on a full federally regulated program.

“What we are suggesting is very fair for all involved, and will hold people accountable,” he said. “Many of the leagues continue to say they are not involved in gambling, yet there are millions being spent every week that they, especially the NFL now, are taking advantage of, and you can’t have it both ways.”

Rugby, soccer or NFL this weekend in London? Safe bet all will have wagering, and that’s no fantasy.

DraftKings partner with NFL Int’l Series; New York Jets fear sphincter abrasions

Daily fantasy sports operator DraftKings has inked a partnership with the National Football League’s International Series games in the UK.

On Friday, DraftKings announced it had signed a three-year exclusive deal enabling it to brand the hell out of the three games the NFL plays this season at London’s Wembley Stadium, starting with this weekend’s tilt between the New York Jets and the Miami Dolphins. The announcement comes as DraftKings prepares to launch its new UK-licensed site sometime in Q4.

As part of its deal, DraftKings’ ubiquitous TV adverts will air during Sky Sports broadcasts of NFL games. DraftKings will also host events outside Wembley prior to all three games, with additional events taking place this Saturday in London’s Trafalgar Square and in Regent Street on Oct. 24. The events will offer UK fans the chance to test out their American football skills in order to win prizes.

Friday’s announcement comes just days after DraftKings announced it had struck a marketing partnership with the NFL Players Association. DraftKings also has individual sponsorship deals with a dozen NFL teams, some of which allow DraftKings to operate branded ‘fantasy lounges’ within the teams’ stadiums. All of which only serves to underscore the NFL’s hugely hypocritical anti-betting stance, but whatever.

NFL Week 4 Betting Preview

Six teams (New England has a bye) head into Week 4 of the NFL schedule looking to remain undefeated and the odds makers expect all of them to do so. The Bengals, Broncos, Packers, Panthers, Falcons and Cardinals are favored by an average of almost six points and four of them are getting over 80-percent of the spread betting share. That makes it a big weekend for them and, potentially, for bookmakers as well. The house was hammered last week with a number of heavily backed favorites bringing it home for the public. The stage is set for a redo, but clubs like Kansas City, Minnesota, St. Louis and Tampa Bay could piss on that parade. And books everywhere are hoping they do.

Thursday, October 1 –

Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers (+3, Over/Under 43.5, 65% backing Ravens ATS): These two bitter rivals kick start the Week 4 slate tonight, but something about this matchup is not quite the same with Terrell Suggs and Ben Roethlisberger both being sidelined. It is, nonetheless, a game of tremendous importance for the Ravens, who are on the verge of a back breaking 0-4 start. Pittsburgh has played as a home underdog just twice in this series since the 1999 season. It lost both of those games straight up while going 0-1-1 against the spread.

Sunday, October 4 –

DraftKings ink marketing deal with NFL Players Association

Daily fantasy sports operator DraftKings has inked a marketing partnership with the National Football League Players Association (NFLPA).

On Tuesday, Forbes reported that the NFLPA had inked a group licensing deal that would allow DraftKings to utilize NFL players in DFS marketing. Neither party has commented on the terms of their new arrangement, which comes amid a marketing blitz by DFS operators linked to the start of the new NFL season.

In a press release accompanying the announcement, DraftKings biz-dev VP Jeremy Elbaum said the ability to feature NFL players in its marketing “adds a level of excitement and connectivity to the game that is a huge win for us and our community.”

Ahmad Nassar, president of the NFLPA’s marketing arm NFL Players Inc., expressed his excitement that “more and more players are going to benefit from the rising growth of fantasy sports.” Nassar said NFL players and DraftKings “both have intense, dedicated fan bases” and that the pairing will offer “a new level of authenticity to the daily fantasy experience.”

NFL Week 3 Recap

The Green Bay Packers capped off another rough weekend for NFL bookmakers, covering a seven-point line with a 38-28 Monday Night Football win over the Kansas City Chiefs. Aaron Rodgers and company were getting 68-percent of the spread betting and they joined the likes of Denver, Seattle, Arizona and Pittsburgh in helping shift a lot of money from the house to the public.

The Patriots and Falcons were also among the chorus of bookie ball busters as they helped bettors cash at 73 and 71-percent clips. New England easily covered a 14-point spread at home, smashing the Jaguars 51-17 while the Falcons soared past the injury depleted Cowboys 39-28 thanks to 22 unanswered second half points. Atlanta was listed as a two-point road favorite in the inter-conference battle.

The Broncos, Seahawks and Cardinals were favored at -3, -15 and -6.5 over the Lions, Bears and 49ers, respectively, and they covered those spreads by an average of 20.2 points.

The Steelers opened as a slight road favorite over the Rams but by kickoff, they were listed as a one-point underdog. Money came in fast and furious on Pittsburgh as a result and it did not disappoint its backers, recording a 12-6 victory. The final tally did help the odds makers mitigate some of their losses as 76-percent were favoring it to go Over the posted total of 48 points.

NFL Week 3 Betting Preview

To steal a line from Forrest Gump, the NFL “is like a box of chocolates; you never know what you are going to get.” Week 2 certainly played out that way with Tampa Bay, Washington, Jacksonville, Dallas and Oakland all pulling off big upsets, much to the delight of bookmakers everywhere. This week’s slate sets up in similar fashion as teams like New England, Seattle, Arizona, Houston and Green Bay are expected to take care of their opposition with relative ease. Will the reaper show up at their respective doors as well?

Thursday, September 24 –

Washington Redskins at New York Giants (-4, Over/Under 44, 68% backing Giants ATS): Washington has played solid football through two weeks and its defense, which ranks first in yards per game allowed, is the reason why. While the Redskins have turned heads with their surprising start, the Giants have done so with their inability to finish games. New York held a 23-13 fourth quarter lead over Dallas in its opener only to lose 26-27 and it squandered a 10-point fourth quarter lead in last week’s 20-24 loss to Atlanta. Perhaps the Giants need to spot the Redskins a few points tonight and see how that pans out for them.

Sunday, September 27 –

DraftKings ventures into world of fantasy eSports

DraftKings is expanding the fantasy horizon. The popular daily fantasy sports site announced it will add eSports in its lineup, alongside NFL, MLB, NBA and NHL.

The Boston-based website will begin offering fantasy eSports contests on Oct. 1, with the League of Legends World Championships. This means players can draft a team of professional gamers and compete against others online for real money, much like the traditional fantasy sports like football and basketball.

Participants can play for free or pay a minimal $3 entry fee to win $25,000, among other cash prize contests.

“eSports is one of the world’s most popular spectator sports,” DraftKings CRO and co-founder Matt Kalish said in a statement.

Pallone: Major leagues start singing new tune following calls for DFS probe

New Jersey’s tireless advocate for sports betting legalization wants the industry “out of the shadows.”

During a forum hosted by the International Centre for Sport Security, Rep. Frank Pallone said he believes the Congress would’ve already passed a law that will legalize such form of gambling, if not for “the sports leagues opposing sports betting.”

“This is a billion-dollar industry run by organized crime, and instead we’d like to see money generated through tax revenues that could go to state education, for instance,” Pallone said during the forum, according to NewJersey.com.

Online sports gambling are outlawed under the 1992 Professional and Amateur Sports Protection Act (PASPA), but Pallone has been working diligently to end PASPA’s despotic rule in his home state. Last January, the lawmaker reintroduced a bill that would have New Jersey offer full-fledged sports betting, just like Nevada.

NFL Sunday Betting Recap Week 2

NFL favorites carried the day in Week 1 and they punished bookmakers as a result. Heavily backed teams like the Packers, Dolphins, Bengals and Broncos all kicked sand in the face the odds makers, making it one of the more their disastrous opens to an NFL season ever. There is a saying, though … something about the sun shining on a dog’s rear end. Well, yesterday it did.

It was, indeed, a dog day afternoon as the glorious beams landed in unusual places like Cleveland, Jacksonville, Oakland and Washington. Home dogs all, the Browns, Jaguars, Raiders and Redskins not only covered the number but they won outright.

Tennessee and St. Louis, the unlikely victims of uprisings in Cleveland and Washington, respectively, were especially hard on the betting public. The Browns horrible Week 1 showing, coupled with Marcus Mariota’s brilliant Week 1 dissection of the Bucs, had the public backing the Titans at 71-percent against the spread. The Rams, meanwhile, suckered 69-percent of the public’s money this week after their season opening upset of the Seahawks.

Only the Ravens and Dolphins garnered more public backing, hitting 79 and 80-percent prior to kickoff. Baltimore (-6) failed to escape the Black Hole, falling 33-37 to Oakland while Miami (-5) suffered a 20-23 loss to the usually toothless Jaguars.

Bills-Pats: Rex Ryan Eager For Another Shot at Belichick

Rex Ryan always made it a point to make it kind of personal when he went against the New England Patriots as the head coach of the New York Jets. No one expects much to change now that he is at the helm of another AFC East rival, the Buffalo Bills. It is with this in mind that NFL bettors will check out these two teams in action, starting at 1 PM ET at Ralph Wilson Stadium in Orchard Park, NY.

The Bills were the NFL’s best defense last season with regard to points allowed per drive, and they retained much of their strength from last season, with the only major differences being the absence of linebacker Kiko Alonso (trade), who was injured anyway, and the switch from Jim Schwartz to Dennis Thurman as the defensive coordinator. They were a real pain in the neck for Andrew Luck to deal with last week. Luck completed just 26 of his 49 passes and tossed two interceptions, as the Bills were in his face much of the day. By getting out to a two-touchdown lead early, the Bills also rendered Indy’s revamped running game relatively useless. And Tyrod Taylor, the starting quarterback as named by Ryan, went 14 of 19 for 195 yards, and did not suffer a sack.

What was kind of interesting about Buffalo’s performance last Sunday was that LeSean McCoy was not a very big part of it. McCoy had 17 carries for 41 yards, a paltry 2.4 yards per attempt. However, Karlos Williams was available for some balance (six carries, 55 yards) and that will be some comfort for Buffalo fans, since McCoy  is reportedly still bothered by a bad hamstring. Those injuries have a way of lingering.

In the NFL betting odds that are posted on this game, the Bills are very slight favorites:

NFL Week 2 Betting Preview

This week’s football slate is an important one in both the NFL and NCAA as several clubs look to get a leg up in what figure to be tightly contested division races. First up in the NFL are the Broncos and Chiefs, who will lock horns at Arrowhead Stadium later tonight.

Kansas City opened as a 1.5 favorite in this evening’s clash with Denver, but last week’s effort by both teams has the Chiefs laying three points. Andy Reid’s squad went on the road and scored an impressive 27-20 victory over the favored Texans while the Broncos knocked off the Ravens 19-13 at Mile High.

In spite of Denver’s win, Peyton Manning’s performance was an eyebrow raising one, and not in a good way. Manning’s play dropped off sharply at the end of last season and many wondered if this would be the year he fell off a cliff, so to speak. If his showing against Baltimore means anything, Manning is on the precipice … of something not so great.

The Chiefs have been horrific as a home favorite against divisional opposition in recent years, but the public moved the line probably in large part because of Manning, who is also dealing with a bad back. And right now, 61-percent of the money is on KC at -3.

Niners Are Home Dogs in Jimmy T’s “Debut”

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CHARLES JAY ON FOOTBALL BETTING

Niners Are Home Dogs in Jimmy T’s “Debut”

Yes, they were asking “Jimmy Who?” when the new coach of the San Francisco 49ers was announced, and it is up to Jim Tomsula to demonstrate that he indeed was the wisest choice to succeed Jim Harbaugh, who is admittedly a hard act to follow.

NFL Sunday Betting Recap Week 1

Opening week of the NFL season is something akin to the Super Bowl in terms of excitement, particularly in betting circles. Bettors and bookmakers alike froth at the mouth awaiting to see how they will fare when the pads really start popping and the action on the field is devoid of Bobby Boucher types.

Week 1 typically leans in favor of the house as the public lands hard and heavy on teams laying points (i.e. spotting the other team), but this year, books took it on the chin with no fewer than eight favorites covering the number.

The two teams delivering the most uncomfortable shots to the odds makers were the Green Bay Packers and Miami Dolphins. Aaron Rodgers and his cohorts closed as a -7 favorite against their NFC North rivals the Chicago Bears while the Fins were a -4 favorite visiting the Washington Redskins. 80% of the public money was on Green Bay while 90% threw their hard earned cash at Ndamukong Suh and company.

Both clubs induced more than a few choice words and gastrointestinal pains from their backers with each trailing at the break and, in the case of Miami, into the fourth quarter.

Rodgers and Cutler Must Improvise in Packers-Bears Matchup

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CHARLES JAY ON FOOTBALL BETTING

Rodgers and Cutler must improvise in Packers-Bears matchup

From the vantage point of some football bettors, the Green Bay Packers might be behind the eight-ball right at the start of the 2015 season. But is that really the case? Or is this just another small speed bump that can be overcome by an elite quarterback?

Roger Goodell open to change role in NFL disciplinary process

NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell is willing to lessen his role in the player discipline process, but still reluctant to give up the final say.

Goodell spoke publicly for the first time since U.S. District Court Judge Richard Berman vacated New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady’s four-game suspension.

Appearing on ESPN Radio’s “Mike & Mike” in the Morning, Goodell said that he’s “very open” to changing his role and called it “extremely time consuming. He has been suggesting to several owners that a discipline officer or a panel making the initial decision on whether to suspend a player “would make for a better system.”

The players union, the National Football League Players Association (NFLPA), wants disciplinary power now held by Goodell to be handled by a neutral arbitrator but the league resists third-party arbitration.

American Pharoah and Other Summer’s Top Stories

By Terry Lyons @terrylyons, Contributing Columnist for @TheDailyPayoff

In the eastern USA, it’s getting dark at 7pm, the networks have concluded their endless broadcasting of meaningless NFL preseason games and, for you Steely Dan fans out there, the Wolverine is on its way towards Annandale.

Which means, summer is almost over.

DSC_0919

There’s been plenty of news posted on The Daily Payoff during the past two months but maybe, like me, you’ve been preoccupied, reading those trashy paperback novels, listening to the sounds of summer at the beach or watching the Red Sox stumble to another last place finish.

To be sure you’re up-to-speed, I’m shaking the sand out of the beach chair and my reporter’s notebook to review a few important occurrences which took place during the past two months while we were all Gone Fishin’.

1. Triple Crown winner American Pharoah took the track at Monmouth Park for The Haskell and did not disappoint a New Jersey record 60, 983 horse racing fans who turned out to see the champ continue his winning ways after a 58-day lay-off from the historic win at the Belmont Stakes. Pharoah then was saddled up for The Travers at Saratoga and the track’s reputation as the “Graveyard of Champions” remained intact as longshot “Keen Ice” upset the triple crown winner. On October 31, all eyes will be on American Pharoah at the Breeders’ Cup Classic at Keeneland which is expected to be the colt’s last race before heading out to stud and a cool $150,000 per pop. What a horse! What a life!

2. The National Labor Relations Board (NLRB) declined jurisdiction over the plight of Northwestern University football players seeking to register as a union. The unanimous decision by the NLRB avoided involvement in the hot potato of “student athlete” rights as they pertain to the NCAA, but it noted the ruling pertained to State-run universities and did not address private schools. The issue of paying collegiate players to play remains a possibility and the case it likely to be appealed to Federal Court.

3. Speaking of Federal cases, DeflateGate was resolved, at least temporarily, when Judge Richard Berman of the US Federal Court, Southern District of New York vacated Tom Brady’s four-game suspension. The judge also took the NFL to task on various procedures of its flimsy Wells Report and subsequent hearing before “Cop-Judge-Jury” Commissioner Roger Goodell. Remember, it all began on January 18, 2015 and could have been resolved by January 20 with some foresight by the NFL and the Patriots. Overall, the entire process has been a colossal waste of time and, ultimately tax-payers money. While it’s now subject to the NFL’s appeal, the entire ridiculous fairytale was possibly a giant smoke-screen left to cover the NFL’s more problematic player image headlines, like Ray Rice and several other domestic violence cases.

4. Although dozens of popular and admirable athletes, executives and administrators have passed away in 2015, some taken far too early, it’s important to recognize the passing of former NY Giants star Frank Gifford. Known to so many as the chiseled and competent anchor of Monday Night Football from 1971 to 1998, Gifford passed away from natural causes on August 9th, a week before his 85th birthday. He was lauded for his pioneering role in transitioning from athlete to broadcaster. Rest in Peace to Giff.

5. Before the 2015 NFL season kicks-off, the two industry leaders of Daily Fantasy Sports, Draft Kings and Fan Duel, will have spent a combined $110 million dollars – just on TV ads, with a reported $86.2 million attributed to Draft Kings, according to combined reports by ispot.tv and Kantar Media. Those figures do not – repeat NOT – include the millions spent on radio, digital and traditional billboard and print advertising deals. As the popular and DFS friendly NFL season kicks-off on September 10 and continues with its full schedule on September 13, the barrage of advertising done by Draft Kings and Fan Duel, already ubiquitous, will reach spending levels only approached in prior years by the beer companies. Jason Robbins, CEO of Draft Kings, and Nigel Eccles, the head of Fan Duel, can both be crowned as the most powerful men in sports in 2015.

6. On August 25, the Third US Circuit Court of Appeals ruled against the State of New Jersey to uphold prior verdicts that NJ’s plans to authorize sports betting were a violation of the federal law, the Professional and Amateur Sports Protection Act. The court’s ruling points any future movement in the legalization of sports betting to Congress. Vocal NJ State Senator Ray Lesniak will need to ramp up efforts at the Congressional level, not via his own’s state government, to make any further progress. In the past, NBA Commissioner Adam Silver, who opposed the efforts in NJ, has written that he and the league support a federally legislated and regulated law to allow sports gambling. The late August ruling will shelve the issue for years to come, unless you believe Congress can actually get something done?

7. Boston 2024 is no longer. Since I dedicated an entire column to the issue on July 8, I will spare readers from past details of Boston’s inept bid and the politics surrounding every decision. Instead, I must note the lost opportunity of hosting an Olympic Games has most Boston and Massachusetts residents singing “Hallelujah,” while some of us wonder if our generation will accomplish anything of significance or just continue to complain about everything and do nothing? The US Olympic Committee and the City of Los Angeles quickly moved forward and have plans to nominate LA as a potential host of the 2024 Games, but the City of Angels will face very stiff competition from the likes of Rome and Paris for the IOC’s blessing to host the youth of the world in 2024. My money is on Paris.

Tom Brady to start NFL season opener after judge overturns suspension

A federal judge has overturned the four-game suspension the National Football League imposed on New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady (pictured on the left) over the ‘deflategate’ scandal.

On Thursday, US District Judge Richard Berman overturned the suspension because it had been “premised on several significant legal deficiencies.” Berman said the NFL had failed to (a) provide Brady with sufficient notice of his potential punishment, (b) make NFL investigators available for cross-examination, and (c) allow Brady’s legal team access to investigative files, including witness interview notes.

Brady stood accused of being involved in a conspiracy to deflate footballs below NFL minimum pressure standards in the AFC championship game against the Indianapolis Colts this January. Brady allegedly preferred softer balls in wet conditions. (Insert your own puerile double-entendre here.)

The NFL’s original investigation of the brouhaha turned up no concrete evidence of Brady’s involvement in the deflation, which was ultimately pinned on two Patriots’ equipment managers. But the report concluded that Brady was “generally aware” of the ball boys’ activities and Brady’s protestations to the contrary were deemed “implausible.”

DraftKings partners with NFL teams ahead of the football season

DraftKings, targeting further fan coverage ahead of the start of the 2015/16 National Football League season, has opened three more branded fantasy sports lounges in NFL stadiums.

Under a partnership with the Dallas Cowboys, the DraftKings Fantasy Sports Lounge will be located at field-level in AT&T Stadium, giving DraftKings players a chance to cheer their favorite NFL players. The Cowboys will also feature DraftKings branding within the stadium and across the team’s digital, television, and radio networks.

“DraftKings and the Cowboys share the same passion for football, sports and business, making this a natural partnership,” said Dallas Cowboys Executive Vice President / Chief Sales & Marketing Officer Jerry Jones, Jr. “The daily segment of fantasy sports is exploding, with more fans joining every day.”

Another sports lounge, The DraftKings Fantasy Sports Zone, will be located at Gillette Stadium—home of the New England Patriots, which will display HDTVs so fans can watch NFL games.