Category Archives: NFL

NFL Opens The Pay Fantasy Door For Teams

NFL Opens The Pay Fantasy Door For Teams
Joe Favorito @JoeFav



The end of this week’s NFL meetings in Arizona brought about what could be seen as a big crack in the armor for pay gaming and the gridiron. According to Dan Kaplan of Sports Business Journal, the league will allow daily fantasy deals for one year, formalizing a policy that has been more restrictive than the NHL and NBA and had forced several teams into a difficult situation when looking at new in-market revenue streams. The one year deals with companies like FanDuel and DraftKings will have a one year team opt out according to Kaplan, but will open a door that could be very lucrative for individual clubs, especially given the huge dollars that flow into fantasy football already every year. Which teams will formalize agreements now that the option is open remain to be seen, with one, the New England Patriots Jonathan Kraft’s Kraft Sports Group, having an equity stake in Boston-based Draft Kings.

The announcement in Arizona comes at a time when baseball, also with a small stake in fan Duel through MLB Advanced Media, should also be entering into the daily pay fantasy world more than ever before, although league sources say no deal is imminent as Opening Day comes into view this weekend. MLB Commissioner Rob Manfred said recently that he felt it was time to take a look at all forms of legal wagering as a revenue stream, echoing the statements that NBA Commissioner Adam Silver has made in recent months as well.

The NFL meanwhile has been the most silent on any kind of pay fantasy or gambling talk, with its owners most concerned about the ill-will that could be fostered from gambling talk, especially coming off a recent period of negative publicity that has damaged the NFL shield, but not its coffers. Whether one year deals will reap a windfall for fantasy businesses who choose to align themselves with teams remains to be seen, but the amount of money spent in marketing to NFL fans through broadcast and digital buys by the two biggest players in the market was at record levels in the tens of millions last year. Official designations with teams would allow any company to use the marks of their respective partner and could open up digital and in-stadium activation, but without a longer play the company runs a big risk of losing equity should the league change its stance, or create a league-wide partnership beyond 2016.

Regardless, the openness to accept pay fantasy partners is a signal of an acceptance trend that seems to be a long time in coming, and could be yet another escalation in a business, pay fantasy and legalized gambling, which many experts say could be a billion dollar industry within five years

NFL Free Agency Super Bowl 50 Odds

There are a handful of words you can use to describe the first few days of the NFL’s free agency period. The word “frenzy” has been thrown around. Same with “carousel”. Other words that have been uttered in the past few days include “fever”, “madness”, and “hysteria”. All these words are apt to describe what’s been going on in the NFL with so many players getting traded, signing with other teams, and even retiring.

More than anybody else, sportsbooks took notice of all the moves being made in the free agency period. The kind of had to because all the player movement was having direct effects on the Super Bowl 50 betting market. Take the Seattle Seahawks for example. Before free agency began, the Seahawks were second favorites to win Super Bowl 50 at 7/1 odds. The only team with shorter odds were the reigning Super Bowl champions, the New England Patriots at 11/2 odds.

Then Patriots cornerback Darrelle Revis announced that he was returning to the New York Jets. Shortly after that, the Seahawks swing a blockbuster deal with the New Orleans Saints that sent Pro Bowl tight end Jimmy Graham to the northwest. Once news arrived of these two stunning transactions, the Seahawks saw their odds drop to 5/1 with the Patriots going up to 6/1.

Think this only applies to the favorites? Guess again.

PERSONALITY CORNER: Tim Rooney Sr.

PERSONALITY CORNER: Tim Rooney Sr.

By Frank Scandale@FScandale

 

Age: 76

Title: President of Yonkers Racing Corp and Empire City Casino.

Former Life: Part owner in the Pittsburgh Steelers

Duties: “Keep everyone in line and make sure expenses are under control.”

Favorite Sports Moment: “Very easily, when we won our first Super Bowl.”

Favorite Family Moment: “ Ha. Reviewing it, it has to be the same moment because of the family involvement. Unbelievable.”

Most Admired Person: Wellington Mara. I knew Cardinal (Terrance James) Cooke, but as a regular human being, Wel Mara was special.”

Favorite Golf Spot: Winged Foot Golf Club, Mamaroneck, NY.

ART ROONEY AND TIM ROONEY AT RACETRACK

Even a guy who used to co-own one of the best NFL teams in a city that saw its share of horrendous winters and can’t avoid talking about this winter’s hottest topic – the weather.

 

Relentless sub-freezing temps, snow and lingering ice have made 0 degrees the new 32 in the Northeast and its effects have not have escaped Tim Rooney Sr. and his operation at the Yonkers Raceway Corp. which also operates the Empire City Casino in the shadow of New York City.

 

This became the second consecutive winter when the region took it on the chin.

 

“Last year, the first quarter hurt dramatically against the same quarter in 2013. When the weather hit, we were down, but we came back up at the end of the year.  January (2015) started off fairly strong, but then the bad weather even supplanted the weather from the last year!” Rooney laughed. “We came back again and were up every day until last Saturday when that 5 inches of snow hit us. We had the accounting department check how many days we had under 25 degrees or snow and we are double the number of bad days this year compared to last year.”

 

Weather is only one of the factors that determine how the casino and harness racing business will go for Rooney. The competition and proliferation of brick and mortar casinos and online betting made his days as a football team owner seem orderly.

 

 

In a wide-ranging interview, the gregarious Rooney touched on football, gaming, horse racing, online gambling, his family and golf.

 

The Rooney name has been synonymous with professional football since 1933 when Art Rooney Sr. founded the Pittsburg Steelers for  $2,500. Tim and two of his four brothers were forced to sell their shares in 2009 in the team because the National Football League’s concerns about the family’s other business interests in gambling entities. The move was painful for Rooney for many reasons, not the least of which is passion for the pigskin despite his love for horses.

 

“Well, there is no comparison. My father was in the business (racing) his whole life, but football is football.

 

He likes to say his favorite sports moment was the first time the Steelers won a Super Bowl, Super Bowl IX in 1975. “Nothing possibly comes close. They were all good (wins) but there is no emotion ever having equaled that first one.”

 

When pressed about his favorite family moment – he has five children and 19 grandchildren – he laughs and hesitates, saying, “I probably shouldn’t say this, but it might be the same moment because of the family’s unbelievable moment (together)…winning the Super Bowl was unbelievable.”

 

 

So much has changed now with respect to sports and gambling, but Rooney wishes the NFL then had allowed them to hold their shares.

 

“When we were closing in on the sale, I honestly did not want to sell my stock in the Steelers. My father had done this (racing) long before this and we had been running the team in this manner,” he continued. “On the other side, my brothers who stayed in will be a lot wealthier, especially when Buffalo sold for $1.4 billion.”

 

Despite his love of football, he says he does not attend games anymore. Too easy to stay home and watch it on television, he says. He used to fly to Pittsburgh on Saturday, have dinner with his brothers that night, go to the game and fly home on Sunday night.

 

Today, his focus is on Yonkers and Empire with his son Tim Jr. and son-in-law Bob Galterio. With casinos popping up all around the Northeast and siphoning off potential and former customers, Rooney says the trick is to keep reinventing and innovating. Rooney, in fact, hinted that Empire would unveil something new soon along with a strong advertising campaign.

 

“We’re going to try out some new things this year, a little more refreshing,” Rooney, now 76, said. “We have a new ad campaign coming out at the end of February or so. It’s more of a return to a stronger campaign on TV.”

 

The table games at fully licensed casinos has been a draw for some players, he said, but New York State’s upcoming budget has a provision for Empire to receive a higher quality electronic table game, something Rooney insists will level the playing field somewhat. The legislature still has to approve it, but he is optimistic that will happen.

 

“Our facility is very good. We just opened another restaurant and put a lot of money into our food business. Two of the three restaurants are doing very well. But the biggest thing we have coming is that part of Governor Cuomo’s budget is to give us a higher quality of electronic table games, one of which is blackjack. “

 

That looming boost and the weather’s inevitable improvement has Rooney eyeing a 5 percent improvement in 2015. “I think we will be up a couple of million dollars this year.”

 

 

 

The real issue down the road is becoming a fully licensed casino when New York State allows those businesses in the metro region to apply. Under the state’s gaming law, New York City and its surround suburbs, including Yonkers, are prohibited from receiving any casino licenses for at least seven years, according to a story in the New York Daily News last December.

 

“We’d be looking to get one of those new licenses,” Rooney said.” Basically if we had a license now, we could open immediately.”

That would complement Rooney’s operation that features approximately 6,000 electronic machines now. “For us not to get a license would be hard to imagine.”

 

For now, the only non-tribal casino licenses will be located further upstate, which Rooney believes will not impact business.

 

The other big issue looming on the horizon is online gambling and sports, a mounting issue as prominent figures such as current NBA commissioner Adam Silver and his predecessor David Stern call for legalized sports betting outside of Nevada.

 

For Rooney, it’s a complicated issue, while he knows there is so much betting now in sports. According to the American Gaming Association, the estimated amount bet illegally on the recent Patriots-Seahawks Super Bowl game was said to be approximately $3.8 billion, compared to approximately $100 million bet legally.

 

“The only question I have for it and somebody smarter than me can figure it out is when a guy makes an unbelievable catch in the game and then later on an important third down drops the ball, everybody is suspicious of everything that happens. Is somebody going to ask if he dropped it on purpose?

 

He recalls the days at the track when people were betting heavy on sporting events at the pay phones, back before cell phones existed. “If you go out and see the pay phone lines, all I can tell you is that they are not calling home to find out what’s the wife is making for dinner.”

 

Today, the game is more interesting and exciting for a wider ranger of people.
“If say Denver is playing Seattle and you don’t have an interest in either team, I don’t care who wins the game, but people watch them because they are betting on the game. That is really part of the popularity of the game.”

 

When the snow finally melts in the East, you’ll likely find Rooney relaxing on a golf course, one of his favorite other sports. The mere mention of golf gets him going about Tiger Woods, the stalled champion nursing injuries and a bruised mental game.

 

“Tiger Woods. When you looked at his position, the only other guy who dominated a sport like Tiger was maybe Michael Jordan. Not Bradshaw. Not Manning. None of them was a dominating in their sport as Woods.”

 

He recalled how small the purses were in comparison to today’s average first-place prize money being way north of $1 million, and cited his family’s own tournament, The Philadelphia Golf Classic back in the 1960s.

 

“We had this match, we owned it, sold the tickets, everything. The purse total was $150,000. That was tied for the biggest purse on tour at that point,” he explained. “In our tournament we got lucky. (Jack) Nicklaus and (Arnold) Palmer tied and went into a playoff. It’s the only thing that got us to break even.”

 

 

 

STATS LLC launches daily fantasy sports data projections

Global sports statistics and information company STATS LLC has just announced a new product that could potentially be a boon to  players. Beginning this year – first in baseball before branching out into other sports – STATS will now have the capability to offer daily fantasy tools to its users and roster of media clients, creating a system by which the fantasy value of players can be tracked, opening up valuable information on which players offer value in daily fantasy sports leagues.

In line with this new tool, STATS will be offering projections directly tied into the scoring systems of both FanDuel and DraftKings, regarded as two of the biggest providers of daily fantasy sports games in North America.

“Broadcast, digital and print media are all focused on the explosion of daily fantasy sports and need content to support their audience,” STATS executive vice president of Pro Analytics Bill Squadron said in a statement.

Baseball will be the first sport to be covered under this new tool. It’s great timing considering that the upcoming Major League Baseball season kicks off next month. But it won’t be the only one. As STATS gets its feet comfortably planted on the ground with this tool, the company is expected to roll out similar daily fantasy projections for the NFL, the NBA, and the NHL, as well as other sports like soccer and college football and basketball.

STATS’ acquisition of Bloomberg Sports in September 2014 allowed the company to utilize the technology offered by Bloomberg to create a standard in predictive analysis through the integration of data-driven models centered on player and team performance. “We’ve combined Bloomberg Sports technology and analytics with STATS’ rich content and powerful data engines to provide the most accurate daily player projections to our customers,” Squadron added.

The content of STATS’ new daily fantasy sports projections will be made available through custom feed data or APIs, ensuring that players can have easy access to all the important information needed for them to build the best possible fantasy lineup in either FanDuel or DraftKings.

At the very least, you can expect this new offering from STATS will become a critical tool for a lot of daily fantasy sports players moving forward.

Tropicana revenue gains; Borgata eyeing expansion; AC to host Arena Football

The Tropicana Casino & Resort Atlantic City has posted an impressive 24% improvement in net revenue in 2014.

According to the company’s annual reports to investors, net revenue in 2014 reached $303.08 million, a steady improvement from the $244.7 million it earned in 2013, largely tributed to an increase in gambling revenue amounting to $55.2 million.

Tropicana’s operating profits posted small gains, amounting to $12.4 million in 2014 compared to $11.19 million in 2013. The property tax refund from Atlantic City with $31.7 million helped the Tropicana, giving owner Carl Icahn some measure of relief after five casinos in Atlantic City shuttered their windows last year. One of them, the Trump Taj Mahal, is expected to be added to Icahn’s portfolio, at least depending on the outcome of bankruptcy court proceedings currently underway for the property.

Meanwhile, Borgata Hotel Casino & Spa—another one of Atlantic City’s casinos that are still standing—has announced plans to expand its business, including the development of an outdoor entertainment venue to host concerts and festivals and a new, state-of-the-art nightclub.

Plans for this expansion have now been set into motion after the casino operator received preliminary determination of eligibility from the Casino Reinvestment Development Authority (CRDA) to use around $14 million of its “current and future funds on deposit with the CRDA generated from its Investment Alternative Tax payments.”

Part of this investment will go in the development and construction of the Borgata Festival Park and the new nightclub.

“We are thrilled with the opportunity to enhance and grow our already tremendous entertainment offerings through funding by the CRDA and a wonderful partnership with Live Nation,” Borgata President and CEO Tom Ballance said in a statement. “Upon our entry into the market in 2003, Borgata set the bar for entertainment and nightlife in Atlantic City, so it is only appropriate that we raise it yet again with the addition of these two substantial projects.”

First ever fantasy sports combine to be held at Wynn Las Vegas

The fantasy sports industry is growing at such a rapid pace that there doesn’t appear to be any ceiling on how big it can get this year. We already know about the massive gains attributed to FanDuel and DraftKings, two of the biggest daily fantasy sports sites in the business today. The former has even announced that it would be hosting the 2015 World Fantasy Basketball Championship in Miami, Florida from April 9 to 11, 2015.

Now, another “first in the business” has been announced and it’s called the Fantasy Sports Combine. The name pretty much explains what you can expect from the three-day event scheduled from July 17 to 19, 2015 at the Wynn Las Vegas and Encore. The use of the word “combine” is of course attributed to the NFL Scouting Combine, a place where college football players showcase their skills and talents in front of scouts, coaches, and front office personnel of NFL teams.

The concept is pretty much the same with the Fantasy Sports Combine even if the purpose is different. Instead of trying to impress team officials, the Fantasy Sports Combine is being prepared to become the go- to place for fantasy sports enthusiasts who are looking for “game-changing insights and strategies on how to win daily, weekly and season long leagues.”

The driving force behind the Fantasy Sports Combine is Drew “Bo” Brownstein, a former hedge fund manager who served a four-month prison term for insider trading. Having already left that part of his life behind him, Bronwstein came up with the idea of the convention last year, just as the popularity of the daily fantasy sports market began gaining serious steam.

“Fantasy sports touches everyone from the head trader at Goldman Sachs to a guy working 60 hours a week at the post office,” Brownstein told Bloomberg. “And it touches both men and women. Its popularity is booming and only getting bigger.”

To his credit, Brownstein is doing his part to make the Fantasy Sports Combine a legitimate event that fantasy sports players from all over North America, maybe even the world, can go to.

He has already assembled a slew of sports personalities who will be part of the three-day event. From proclaimed “fantasy gurus” like Yahoo Sports’ Brad Evans and DirecTV’s John Hansen to legendary coaches like Mike Shanahan and Mike Ditka, the Fantasy Sports Combine is shaping up to be a true spectacle for the industry.

One year after Ray Rice casino scandal, Adam “Pacman” Jones gets escorted out of casino

A year after Ray Rice violently cold-cocked his then-fiance, now-wife Janay Palmer-Rice in an elevator inside the since-shuttered Revel Hotel & Casino, another NFL player has figured into another incident inside a casino.

This time around, the unwitting participant is Cincinnati Bengals’ defensive back Adam “Pacman” Jones and not surprisingly, TMZ was the first to report on the incident, much like it did with the Ray Rice scandal. Seems like a case of deja vu for Roger Goodell and the NFL.

According to TMZ, Jones was kicked out of the Hollywood Casino in Lawrenceburg, Indiana because of an incident that began at the casino cage where Jones reportedly got into an argument with an employee involving casino chips. Jones was then escorted out of the casino where video footage showed Jones having a heated discussion with police officers, claiming that he didn’t do anything wrong.

A lot of the parties involved, including the casino, the officers on the scene, and prosecutors have yet to release any comments surrounding the incident, but Jones himself has already come out to air his side, telling WLWT News 5 in Cincinnati that the casino asked him to leave because “I had dip.”

“There wasn’t an arrest because there was no crime committed, and I left on my own,” Jones added.

The incident is currently under investigation by the Lawrenceburg police.

This episode is the latest in a string of headaches the NFL is already dealing with in the offseason. The fact that it hasn’t even been two weeks since Super Bowl XLIX was played and you get a clear idea of how much of a mess the league is in right now. This incident could amount to anything, or there could be something there that sends another controversy into the NFL’s lap.

NFL OffSeason Expectations

I just realized something. For the first time since September 2014, my Sundays wouldn’t be dominated by the NFL. No Saturday night research on the week’s games. No teasers and parlays to bet. No fantasy sports teams to set up. So there I was, sitting in my couch thinking about what I was going to do to pass time. That’s when I realized, “damn, it’s going to be like this for another eight months.”

NFL fans like me get so geeked up in the lead-up to the Super Bowl, but as the days count down to the game, there’s also a feeling of quiet dread lurking in the back of our heads, becoming more and more pronounced as the days wind down. We can’t shake the feeling off, at least not in the same manner as a Beast Mode stiff arm. It lingers throughout Super Bowl week. Then once the game is done, it just hits us.

What do we do now? Turns out, not a lot.

The worst part about the NFL off-season is getting cut-off on the weekly tradition of betting on games. It’s like somebody telling me that I can’t have cigarettes for the next eight moments. Wait, what?. Are you telling me that I can’t even have a puff or a hit here and there? I don’t want to live like this until September!! I need my cigs, even though I know that it’s probably going to kill me.

Not being able to scratch that NFL betting itch is can be daunting for some. Sure, there’s still the NBA, the NFL, and European football is in the middle of all the domestic leagues. But none of those things still compare to betting on the NFL. Besides, it’s not like I can just jump from one sport to another and assume I’ll be as good on the spread as I am in the NFL (I wasn’t this season, but let’s pretend I was).

If you’re in the same boat as I am – if you’ve read this far then you probably are – I do have some glass half-full suggestions that may or may not cheer you up. First of all, the NFL really doesn’t go away. At one point or another, something’s going to happen in the next eight months that puts the spotlight back in the league and I’m willing to bet NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell will somehow find himself involved in it.

Remember what happened last year when the first Ray Rice video came out? This year, we’re already waiting for the long drawn out report on DeflateGate. Oh, and all of this talk surrounding NBA Commissioner Adam Silver’s softening stance on sport gambling? Don’t think for one second that his NFL counterpart won’t be bombarded with that question in the next few months. He can save himself from answering any of them, but that would probably involve getting tangled into another controversy, like say, a murder trial of a player who once played for the team that just won the Super Bowl. Oh, there you are, Aaron Hernandez!

NFL Super Bowl XLIX Picks

So here we are. This time tomorrow, we’ll have a Super Bowl champion. At this point, it’s probably safe to ask if you’ve already made your Super Bowl bets. I’ve locked down mine and I even threw in a few more props for good measure. So as we count down the final hours leading up to Super Bowl XLIX, let’s take a look at some of the bets and props that I bet on. The objective here, as always, is to impart my betting wisdom – or lack thereof – on everyone with the hope that it can give you some insight on my thought process heading into the game.

 Who’s going to win?

I initially planned to put this article up yesterday, and then I figured that with the spread being as low as it is, late betting action could drive that number haywire. Turns out, I was right. Depending on your sportsbook, the spread for the game has become a hot mess. Some books still have the New England Patriots as -1 favorites, the spread that has been in place for the better part of the past two weeks. But other books now have the game as a pick ‘em, and even more interesting, others have taken to flipping the roles and putting the Seattle Seahawks as -1 favorites.

Unless the game somehow ends up as a one-point affair, I doubt that we’ll get a significant bump in juice for any of these spreads. There’s going to be a some given the switching lines, but the overlying action here remains on who you think is going to win, regardless of the spread. If you think the Pats win, take the money line on books where they’re the underdogs. If you think the Seahawks win, do the same.

As for me, I started this season on record that the Pats would be in the Super Bowl. I initially had them losing to the New Orleans Saints, but we all know how that turned out. Think go me as being stubborn, but I just can’t see the Patriots losing three of their last Super Bowl games.

I’m scared silly of the Seattle Seahawks defense, but I like the Pats to uncork some of their patented in-game trickery to get the job done here.

 Prediction: Patriots 23, Seahawks 20

NFL Super Bowl XLIX: Line Movements Part 2

Super Bowl XLIX is less than a week away and slowly but surely, betting action is also gaining some steam. That’s to be expected, although it’s safe to say that the vast majority of bets for the game aren’t expected to come in until this weekend. That’s when things really pick up and could sometimes cause the spread to fluctuate in a matter of hours. For now, though, action is progressing along nicely leading up to the game.

Right now, most sportsbooks still have the New England Patriots as the -1 favorites. Clearly, all the drama surrounding the deflated footballs haven’t had a bigger effect on the spread than most people thought. Some books have even had to move the number to -1.5, but for the most part, the spread has remained where it is since the early reversal after the conference championship games. This isn’t to say that we’re following a similar path to last year’s Super Bowl when everybody and their grandmas we’re riding with the Denver Broncos. In fact, action on the Seattle Seahawks has increased in the past few days, but it’s still not enough to move the spread back in their favor.

There has been some movement on the totals. Since opening at 48.5, the number has dropped to 48 for some books while others have even pushed it back down to 47.5. It’s a surprising twist since the public usually sides on the over in these types of games, but as it turns out, bettors are justifiably afraid of the Seattle Seahawks’ defense clamping down on the Tom Brady and the Patriots offense. Early action on the under seems to back up this position, and that has compelled some books to drive the number down a little bit to see whether it can get some action on the other side.

As far as where the action is relative to Las Vegas sportsbooks’ record haul of $119 million in betting handle, Vegas books seem to be a little concerned that bets coming in aren’t happening as feverishly compared to last year. While it’s still early to suggest that it’s going to fall short of last year’s record handle, the early signs do point to this year’s handle falling a little short of what books made last year.

Things could still change, though, so don’t put that in writing just yet. Betting on Super Bowl XLIX is just getting started and over the next few days, you can be sure that business will definitely pick up.

Super Bowl XLIX Prop Bets Part 3: Tom Brady and Russell Wilson

We can talk as much as we want about the Rob Gronkowski, Marshawn Lynch, the Legion of Boom, or even DeflateGate. But Super Bowl XLIX will eventually go down to discussions between the two most important players on both teams.

That would be the two quarterbacks, Tom Brady and Russell Wilson.

It’s not surprising that both Brady and Wilson have the most prop bets attached to their names. That’s the cache that comes with playing the most important position in the game. You only need to look at Super Bowl XLIX MVP odds to recognize how important Brady and Wilson are.

If you don’t have the prices in front of you, here’s how it breaks down. Brady and Wilson are the clear favorites to win Super Bowl XLIX MVP honors with both getting 9/4 odds. The two closest on that list? Marconi Lynch at 5/1 odds and Rob Gronkowski at 12/1 odds.

Success in the NFL is still largely dependent on how the quarterback plays and player prop betting on the game suggests as much. In fact, Brady and Wilson have a whole lot of props to their names.

Care to bet on how many completions Brady will have? The number on that is 23.5 with both sides getting 10/11 odds. Wilson’s number is a lot lower at 17.5 completions at the same odds. How about we talk about pass attempts? Brady’s number is at 36.5 whereas Wilson’s number is eight passes lower at 28.5.

The over/under on pass attempts and completions are two unique props to both QBs. But they’re not the only ones, either. Both Brady and Wilson also have a prop for passing yards.

NFL Super Bowl XLIX Prop Bets Part 2: Props I’d Like To See

We need a new set of props if we are going to bet the Super Bowl.

I’ve already established that betting on prop bets at the Super Bowl is pretty fun. But every year, it seems that the same type of props are being offered. Some involve the national anthem and the halftime show. Others involve the color of the Gatorade, the coin toss, and the first scoring play of the game.

All these props are cool, but they’ve been offered so many times that they’ve lost a little bit of originality. That’s where I come into the picture.

In the second part of my prop series on Super Bowl XLIX, I’m taking a short detour and present a handful of props that I want to see get offered, even though sportsbooks are unlikely to take that course of action, for one reason or another.

Who knows, maybe a sportsbook gets to read this and decides to offer them. Just give a hat tip if you do.

If Richard Sherman wins Super Bowl MVP, will he ignore Commissioner Roger Goodell and instead shake the hand of and/or talk to Cardboard Cut-Out Roger Goodell?

Given the manner by which Sherman and Doug Baldwin mocked the NFL a few months ago with that pre-meditated press conference, this one could get interesting if Sherman somehow wins Super Bowl MVP and has to stand on the podium next to Goodell for the trophy presentation. Normally, a handshake between the MVP and the Commish happens in these moments, but wouldn’t be the ultimate slap in the face of Goodell if Sherman refuses to shake his hand and/or talk to him, instead bringing out a cardboard cut-out of Goodell and then shaking the hand of said cardboard and talking to him…or it.

If that happens, forget about the game itself. That would be what everyone will be talking about for years to come.

NFL Super Bowl XLIX Prop Bets Part 1: National Anthem and Halftime Show

I’ll be the first to admit that I haven’t bet on the Super Bowl since the New Orleans Saints beat the Indianapolis Colts in Super Bowl XLIV. Actually, let me rephrase that. I haven’t bet on the Super Bowl game itself since the Saints beat the Colts.

So what have I been betting on the past four Super Bowls? Prop bets, baby!

Yep! It’s that time of the year again, ladies and gentlemen. Prop betting has become as important to the Super Bowl as chips and tacos. These types of bets have really taken a life of their own, sometimes generating more interest and publicity than the actual spread for the game.

Remember when an actual prop bet came out with an over/under on the time of the post-game handshake between the two Harbaugh brothers in Super Bowl XLVII? Maybe you’ll also remember the prop bet involving Aaron Rodgers’ “Discount Double-Check” celebration back in Super Bowl XLV.

These are the kinds of bets you can make on the Super Bowl. They range from the meta to the mundane, often times falling somewhere in-between.

This year promises to be no different as the first wave of prop bets have been released. As I have done over the past few years, I’m going to spend several days highlighting some of the most notable prop bets being offered ahead of Super Bowl XLIX. So let’s begin with a pair of props involving two people who aren’t even playing in the game: Idina Menzel and Katy Perry.

If you didn’t know by now, Idina Menzel is scheduled to sing the National Anthem at the game and Katy Perry will be performing the halftime.

College Football National Championship Betting Results

After suffering through a debilitating NFL Divisional Round weekend, the public got some measure of revenge on the sportsbooks when the Ohio State Buckeyes defeated the Oregon Ducks to win the college football National Championship game at Cowboys Stadium in Arlington, Texas.

Sportsbooks had determined early on that the worst case scenario on this game would’ve been an Ohio State outright win, even though action on the game was less than initially expected. Still, the public came out putting money on the Buckeyes, which entered the game as touchdown underdogs against the Ducks.

The game started of quickly for the Ducks when the team scored a touchdown on its opening drive. But that was about it for Oregon, which saw Ohio State comeback to score 21 straight points. Oregon managed to pull within one, 21-20, in the third quarter, but the Buckeyes quickly shut down any possibility of an Oregon comeback with three straight touchdowns to seal the deal.

The result wasn’t as surprising as some people would like to believe, even if the Buckeyes opened as 7-point underdogs. Evidently, the public sensed something was amiss with the spread, pounding the Buckeyes and forcing sportsbooks to hunker down and thrown on their Oregon jerseys. Unfortunately, all that “quacking” couldn’t help Oregon, giving the public the kind of salvage victory it needed after getting pummeled in the Divisional Round of the NFL playoffs a few days earlier.

The only respite books can cling to was that action wasn’t as heavy as a lot of people expected. That could partly be due to scheduling quirks that forced the National Championship game to be played on a Monday night, instead of Saturday or Sunday night where there would’ve undoubtedly been more action on both sides. The books could also take solace in the fact that a lot of futures bets tied to the Oregon Ducks ended up on the losing side.

The college football National Championship is the closest thing to a dress rehearsal books will have leading up to the Super Bowl, which is scheduled to be played in a few week’s time. If given a choice, books would tell you that they’d prefer to lose out on the National Championship game than the Super Bowl. Only time will tell if this scenario proves to be the case. For now, it’s back to the drawing board in preparation for the NFL’s Conference Championship games this weekend.

 

NFL Divisional Round Betting Results

If you picked the Divisional Round of the NFL playoffs to bet big on Peyton Manning and the Denver Broncos, then I really have nothing more to say than “tough luck.” Really, I feel bad about it. I mean, even I thought the Broncos would win and cover the game. I didn’t bet on it, which in hindsight was a stroke of genius. But I was close to, that much I’ll admit.

Sportsbooks, though, aren’t as sympathetic, especially when you consider that just about everybody had the Broncos in some kind of singles action, teasers, parlays, and all three in some cases. That was the trend heading into the weekend’s games and a lot of books pretty much had their weekends tied to the game. A Broncos cover would be bad news and a Colts cover would be the best case scenario. No in-between.

As it turned out, sportsbooks walked away with huge smiles on their faces when the Colts turned the tables on the Broncos, winning on the road, 24-13, and sending Peyton Manning to a one-and-done playoff appearance. Some bettors walked out huge after betting on the Colts to win outright, but for the most part, the action was heavily on the side of Denver.

With the loss, books likely enjoyed the sight of one teaser bet after another drown in a public tears. If that wasn’t enough, the books also walked away on the winning side of the New England Patriots’ 35-31 victory over the Baltimore Ravens and the Green Bay Packers’ controversial 26-21 win over the Dallas Cowboys. Both favorites won the game but failed to cover, which was the best-case scenario for the sportsbooks. The Seattle Seahawks’ convincing 31-17 win over the Carolina Panthers was the only game that saw the underdog (barely) cover the spread, but even the action on that game wasn’t as big as the other three games.

All in all, it was a very positive week for the books and a disastrous one for the public. With the season down to its penultimate week, you can expect more action to come heading into the Championship round. If recent trends are any indication, you can expect the public to come out swinging this weekend because quite frankly, they probably wouldn’t have it any other way.

NFL Week 16 Line Movements and Picks

If there’s anything you’ll notice about this week’s spate of games, it’s that there’s an alarmingly high number of home underdogs. I’m not just talking about short dogs, either. I’m talking home dogs getting anywhere from 8 to 11 points. That should make for a very exciting betting week for the public and the books as the season winds down. Expect fireworks, people!

Titans at Jaguars

As expected, there’s been little movement on the line, although some books did drop the number to -2.5 for the Jaguars. Still, betting on this game is incredibly tricky because both teams are better off just losing this game to improve their draft stocks. If I had to choose, and believe me, it’s a forced pick, I’d probably side with the home team on account of them being, well, at home.

Prediction: Jaguars 20, Titans 17

Bears at Lions

Well, that didn’t take long to shoot up. Literally minutes after the Chicago Bears announced that Jimmy Clausen would be starting in favor of Jay Cutler, sportsbooks immediately added two points to the spread, from -7 to -9 on the Detroit Lions. I personally don’t think it’s going to matter because the Bears appear to have checked out of this season. They’re like the team that knows it’s not going to make the playoffs and they’re just going to be doing whatever it takes to get through the last two weeks. This is normally a recipe for concern, but not when you’re betting against a team that literally just wants the season to end.

Prediction: Lions 24, Bears 14

NFL Week 17 Opening Lines

Oh, how time flies. It didn’t feel so long ago that I embarked on a season-long sojourn to bring you these scheduled pieces. Now, we’re down to our final “Opening Line” piece of the NFL regular season. We’re going to continue pumping these babies out for the playoffs, but that’s not nearly as fun as trying to handicap the entire schedule of games.

So for one last time, here are the opening lines of the Week 17 games I like the most. It was fun, but like Arnie used to say, “I’ll be back.”

The NFC South

So it’s come down to the Atlanta Falcons and the Carolina Panthers. Who would’ve thought that a team that lost five straight games in the season is playing a team that lost six straight games in the season for a chance to win the NFC South. The Falcons opened as -3 favorites, but that number has already moved on both sides with some bookies now posting -3.5 lines while others have it as -2.5. Either way, I’m not confident about betting on this game, knowing full well that both of these teams could stink up the joint and one wins only because they screwed up less than the other.

The NFC North

Now this is how an all-or-nothing game is supposed to be like. Both the Detroit Lions and the Green Bay Packers have already clinched playoff spots. The winner of this game, though, wins the NFC North, and a first-round bye. So stakes are still high for this one, which is why Green Bay opening as -7.5 favorites is a little tricky. Ok, maybe not that tricky since Green Bay pummels their opponents by 20 points at home this season. Add a little revenge factor and this game could very well be another one of those Packers blowouts.

Colts to rest starters?

2014′s Top Sports Stories in North America

2014 was an eventful year in North American sports. It had a lot of highs, a lot of lows, and a lot of in-betweens. But through it all, these 10 moments will likely define the year in sports in the US. It was a tough decision omitting some moments, but we had to stick with just 10 to keep it tight. Apologies to the Los Angeles Kings in this regard. Two Stanley Cup title in three seasons…and they don’t make it on the list.

But here are the 10 that did.

The Seattle Seahawks’ emasculation of the Denver Broncos

It was supposed to be a titanic match up pitting the league’s best offense and the league’s best defense. Peyton Manning vs the Legion of Boom. The lead-up towards the Super Bowl certainly didn’t lack in story lines, but the game itself was the equivalent of watching a re-mastered version of Gigli in cinemas. The Seahawks dominated the game from start-to-finish, dismantling the Broncos offense on their way to a shocking 43-8 smackdown of the Broncos. So much for those story lines, huh?

The San Antonio Spurs get their Finals revenge over the Miami Heat

If you want to see basketball played at its absolute apex, go back and watch the 2014 NBA Finals between the San Antonio Spurs and the Miami Heat. It was, in so many words, an complete clinic on how to play team basketball. Nevermind the fact that Miami had LeBron James. That didn’t matter. The Spurs dominated the series from the get-go on their way to winning by the biggest average in NBA Finals history and exorcising the demons from their own collapse in Game 6 of the 2013 NBA Finals.

Team USA uprising

NFL Divisional Round Opening Lines

After a pretty eventful Wild Card weekend that saw the Carolina Panthers, Indianapolis Colts, Dallas Cowboys, and Baltimore Ravens all advance to the Divisional Round of the NFL playoffs, we’re down to the last eight teams that have a chance to win the Super Bowl this coming February. Not that people need to be reminded but this is where games become pretty hairy. Together with the aforementioned four, the teams that had bye weeks in the Wild Card round – the New England Patriots, Denver Broncos, Green Bay Packers, and Seattle Seahawks – will be putting their collective seasons on the line this coming weekend.

Naturally, these four games will over plenty of dialogue leading up to game time, none more important in this corner than the betting odds for each of the games. Somewhat surprisingly, three of these four games feature point spreads that are hovering around a touchdown spread. The other game isn’t any closer with the home team penciled in as double-digit favorites. Just goes to show you that despite the stakes involved, sportsbooks don’t think that any of these games will be close.

The game with the shortest odds has the Dallas Cowboys opening as 6.5-point road underdogs when they travel to Green Bay to face Aaron Rodgers and the Packers. Big D’s impressive come-from-behind win against the Detroit Lions showed that this isn’t the same bumbling and stumbling Cowboys team that we’ve loved to root against in the past few seasons. Whether it can slow down Rodgers and the high-powered Packers offense is another story. I don’t necessarily think this game will be close, but I do think that a lot of points will be scored, which would make an over play on the 53 O/U total seem like a good move.

If you’re not confident about what’s being offered in this game, you can opt for the two AFC Divisional round match-ups. The first of the two AFC division games starts with the Denver Broncos opening as -7 favorites against the Indianapolis Colts. Most books actually have this number squarely at 7 points and the hope is that action comes from both sides to prevent the difficult scenario of adding half-a-point on that number. The O/U total for this game sits at the same 53 number as the Cowboys-Packers game. This seems like a good over play, too, but there are questions on Peyton Manning’s health leading up to this game. Same goes for Andrew Luck’s receiving corp so I’m not as excited to place a bet on the totals for this game. As for the spread, I’ll probably wait to get that half-point. If the line moves up to -7.5 for the Broncos, a Colts underdog play looks promising. If it drops to -6.5 for Denver, a Broncos play could be in order.

Meanwhile, the other AFC division game will feature the Baltimore Ravens and the New England Patriots. Right now, the home team sits as -7 favorites  with the total opening at 49 points. Some books actually opened the spread at -7.5, but action on Baltimore prompted books to move it back up to -7. If there’s a game with a live underdog, this is it. The Ravens have played the Patriots tough in the past and it won’t be surprising if Baltimore even wins this game outright. Take note of that when there’s action on the spread. A bump up would make a Ravens pick interesting.

Last but certainly not least is the Carolina Panthers traveling to the Pacific Northwest to take on the defending champion Seattle Seahawks. Beating the ‘Hawks at their home stadium is a task far easier said than done. That could explain why books opened this game with Seattle laying a massive -11 points against a team that has also played the Seahawks tough in some of their more recent meetings. As expected, the total for this game is the lowest of the four division games. Some book opened it at a measly 40 points, but action on the over has bumped that number up to 41.5. Still, if you’re willing to bet on an offensive explosion, this is the time to buy stock on the over cashing in on this game.

NFL Wild Card Round Betting Results

For the sportsbooks, the theme surrounding the four NFL wild card games during the weekend revolved around the fortunes of two teams. Since the public was riding heavy on both the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Dallas Cowboys, it was important that both teams lose against the spread. Once the smoke had cleared from the Cowboys’ come-from-behind victory against the Detroit Lions, the books now had time to let out a sigh of relief.

The Baltimore Ravens’ surprising beatdown of the Steelers got the ball rolling for the books on Saturday. With the Ravens easily covering the 3-point spread, all those who had a lot of money tied to Pittsburgh, be it straight-up bets, teasers, or parlays, came out empty-handed. The Steelers loss also burned a lot of what would’ve been a huge amount of carryover risk on the two Sunday games.

Notice how the Arizona Cardinals and the Carolina Panthers have yet to be mentioned? Well, it seems that it didn’t get as much action as the other three wild card games and the results could’ve gone either way without the public or the books getting a brunt of the payouts.

The two Sunday games, though, were pretty important. Going in, the books knew how heavy the public was on the Dallas Cowboys as the home favorites against the Detroit Lions. A Lions cover would’ve been awesome. And if the Bengals covered as road dogs to the Indianapolis Colts, that would have been much better. But the Colts took care of business and the public rode that train all the way to the bank. Inevitably, it was down to the Cowboys-Lions game. The books had to sweat out the dramatic ending to the game, but in the end, they got what they wanted: an underdog covering the spread.

Moving on to the divisional round, sportsbooks are already bracing for a teaser-fest with all four games having favorites priced at -6 or higher. Don’t be surprised then, if a lot of betting money piles up on any teaser combination involving the New England Patriots, the Seattle Seahawks, the Denver Broncos, and the Green Bay Packers.